NV's plays for 2/6 w/write ups

[nevadaside]

I like SA -2 (-130) or ML-148 today......

I've been using this kind of capping with more & more success lately, & I CANNOT ignore a team that has NOT lost 1 game to a sub .500 team!
Focusing in on SU stats due to the line basically being a ML play.

SA #1 in NBA vs. sub .500 teams;

SA 16-0 SU Overall vs. sub .500 teams
SA 5-0 SU road vs. sub .500 teams

LAC 6-9 SU @ HM vs. .500+ teams
LAC 3-4 SU @ HM vs. WEST Top 8

SA 9-1 SU: 7-3 ATS road vs. LAC last 10
SA 4-1 SU: 3-2 ATS road vs. LAC on Saturdays
SA 9-1 SU: 7-2-1 ATS vs. PACIFIC last 10

LAC 1-9 SU: 2-8 ATS vs. SOUTHWEST last 10
LAC 0-5 SU: 1-4 ATS vs. SOUTHWEST last 5
LAC 2-7 SU: 1-8 ATS @ HM vs. SOUTHWEST last 9


SA scoring vs. sub .500 teams averaging 107.2-93.1.

LAC scoring vs. .500+ teams averaging 94.4-101.9.
LAC scoring vs. WEST Top 8 teams averaging 93.3-103.3.
LAC has already LOST to SA twice this season by 25 & 18 pts.

Refs 3-8 ATS for HM DOG of 0-4.5 pts.

91% SA & line doesn't budge.........today I will not let that scare me off.



Also like INDY+6 (-120) today.........
"kind of JUICING today"

What I like is the numbers for INDY/MIL "in DIV".

MIL Offense avg. 90 & Defense allowing 91.3 in DIV play.
INDY Offense avg. 92.7 & Defense allowing 93.8 in DIV play.
MIL-1.3
INDY-1.1

MIL 1-3 ATS @ HM in DIV play.
INDY 1-1 ATS road in DIV play.

MIL 6-2 SU @ HM vs. sub .500 teams
IND 6-5 SU road vs. sub .500 teams

Refs 18-23 ATS for HM FAV of -5.5..........with an avg. HM win of 4.2 pts.

16% currently on IND.

Comments welcome & appreciated!

[nevadaside]

Ok...........1-1 yesterday, the BIG write up CASHES but INDY fails miserably.

I saw the INDY line go south on me & did not follow my instinct to buy out of it...........OOOOOPPPPPPSSSSSS!!!

I am happy with some new criteria I'm using in capping NBA that is working out good lately though on these BIG write ups.